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Good News on Covid July 10, 2020

Posted by shaferfinancial in Uncategorized.
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Decided to do a comparison from 1 month ago to today. Picked a state that is considered a hot spot and a place I use to live:

Just did a cursory view of hospitalizations from Florida comparing rates from 1 month ago to today: Ages 15-24 Hospitalization rate went from 3% to 1% of positive cases. age 25-34 from 6% to 2%. Age 35-44 10% to 4%. Age 45-54 13% to 6%. age 55 64 19% to 10%. Age 65-74 33% to 19%. So, in the younger age groups it dropped 66%. Middle age groups it dropped 50% and older age groups 40%.

Percentage of cases (due to who they test most likely) Age 15-24 increase from 9% to 16% Age 25-34 increase from 16-21%. Age 35-44 stayed the same 16%. Age 45-54 Dropped 17% to 15%. Bottom line is that hospitalization rates dropped in all age groups, but most acutely in younger age groups. And average age of cases are trending much younger.

So combining the two; the recent surge in Florida is concentrated in the younger age groups where we are seeing significantly less hospitalizations.

Isn’t this good news? I mean really good news…….why isn’t it being covered? Without testing demographics, we can’t state definitively that they are testing more younger people than 1 month ago, but the evidence seems it is more likely than not that they are.

And here is another thought; Since the percentage positive in Florida has gone from 5% to 15% in that time period, doesn’t this mean that Florida is getting to some level of herd immunity protection soon?